Rapoport states that 3 factors influence when an individual will 'hit the wall'. These 3 factors are: your VO2 max (aerobic capacity), your relative exertion, and the amount of glycogen (energy) stored in your leg muscles. You can painstakingly do all the math yourself, or use the free online calculator at www.endurancecalculator.com. All you need is your age, weight, and resting heart rate. You have the option of inputing your VO2 max, but not many know it off hand. Testing for such a value is expensive (thanks to school I have had the opportunity to know mine, 60mL/kg/min as of April 2011).
Here's what the calculator suggested for me:
Running Endurance Calculator Results (Marathon)
Basic Information | ||
---|---|---|
Estimated Maximal Oxygen Uptake (VO2max) (in mL oxygen per kg body mass per minute): | 60 | |
Total Energy Required to Run a Marathon (in kcal or food calories): | 3157 |
Conservative Best Marathon Performance (Normal Glycogen Levels) | |
---|---|
Time: | 3:12:31 |
Mile Pace: | 7:20 |
Kilometer Pace: | 4:33 |
Carbohydrate Loading Required (kcal): | 1656 |
Aggressive Best Marathon Performance (Maximal Glycogen Levels) | |
---|---|
Time: | 2:12:03 |
Mile Pace: | 5:02 |
Kilometer Pace: | 3:07 |
Carbohydrate Loading Required (kcal): | 2999 |
Target Marathon Performance | |
---|---|
Time: | 3:00:00 |
Mile Pace: | 6:51 |
Kilometer Pace: | 4:15 |
Carbohydrate Loading Required Prerace (kcal): | 1836 |
Minimal Fueling Required During Race (kcal): | 0 |
...Darn.
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